Labor market institutions such as unions and the minimum wage do make a difference with regards to overall wage structure and achieving a more equitable distribution. The minimum wage, for instance, is not only about helping the working poor to earn a wage above the poverty line; it is also about shoring up the middle class through wage contour effects. A minimum wage is effectively able to accomplish for non-unionized workers what labor unions have traditionally been able to accomplish for their members: it gives them a sense of voice by establishing a set of standards through the force of law, which is also enforceable by the state. This becomes even more important in an era of declining unionism. Because the minimum wage has all too often been conceived of narrowly as primarily an anti-poverty measure, its broader implications have been overlooked. The broader implications have also been missed because of our narrow construction of the minimum wage population as only those earning the statutory minimum, and not those who are earning an effective minimum.
Were we to conceive of the minimum wage in terms of contours, we would be able to understand just how important the minimum wage is as a labor market institution that can serve as a bulwark against stagnating middle class wages. In the 1950s John Dunlop developed the concept of a wage contour to explain how a firm’s internal wage structure might be as much affected by external forces as internal ones. A wage contour would be defined as a group of workers with similar characteristics working in similar industries and earning similar wages. For each group there would be a group of rates surrounding a key rate, and these group rates would be affected by changes in the key rate. The key rate was essentially to be defined as any rate serving as a reference point in a particular industry. A minimum wage can similarly be viewed as a reference point for what others in similar industries and occupations ought to be paid.
If we took the low-wage labor market and divided it into contours, it would look something like this: the first contour would be comprised of those earning in a wage interval between the statutory minimum wage to about 25 percent above. The second contour would pick up at the end of the first and range to about 25 percent above that. The third would range to 25 percent above that, and so on. This naturally encompasses a broader segment of the labor market. But even looking at the first contour, for instance, an “effective minimum wage” population will emerge as those earning the median of the first wage contour. As a raise in the statutory minimum wage results in a raise in the “effective” minimum wage, it is also likely that there will be resulting increases in the median wages of at least the second and third contours, and perhaps more.
According to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Current Population Survey, following New York State’s increase in the minimum wage from $6.00 to $6.75 in 2006, the median wage rose from $7.05 to $7.21 in the first contour. But it also rose from $8.57 an hour to $9.61 in the second contour, and from $10.33 an hour to $12.01 in the third contour. Meanwhile in the rest of the U.S. where the federal minimum wage was still $5.15, the median wages remained $5.77, $7.21 and $9.21 an hour in the first three contours respectively.
The point that I wish to make is that following New York’s increase in the minimum wage, and the effects were similar for other states, the median wage also rose for those who had been earning up to at least 91 percent above the state’s statutory minimum wage, and most likely rose above that. But in states where there had been no increases in the minimum wage, the median wages of those earning up to at least 91 percent above the statutory minimum wage remained stagnant. A minimum wage that would keep up with say the rate of inflation might well put an end to wage stagnation at the bottom of the wage distribution and among the lower middle class. As such, there are overall macro welfare benefits that cannot be overstated.
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